Pre-tourney Rankings
East Carolina
Conference USA
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#217
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#225
Pace66.3#211
Improvement-2.3#277

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#149
Improvement-2.2#286

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#280
Improvement+0.0#178
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2013 314   @ UNC Greensboro W 85-84 65%     1 - 0 -6.2 +4.2 -10.5
  Nov 18, 2013 258   Norfolk St. W 76-74 58%     2 - 0 -3.3 -6.9 +3.4
  Nov 19, 2013 8   @ Duke L 74-83 3%     2 - 1 +10.6 +2.2 +8.8
  Nov 25, 2013 315   McNeese St. W 91-62 75%     3 - 1 +18.9 +8.6 +8.8
  Nov 26, 2013 244   UNC Asheville W 81-70 55%     4 - 1 +6.5 -3.0 +8.7
  Dec 01, 2013 279   UNC Wilmington L 68-70 73%     4 - 2 -11.4 +1.1 -12.7
  Dec 14, 2013 338   N.C. A&T W 84-71 89%     5 - 2 -3.6 +2.8 -6.6
  Dec 19, 2013 236   VMI W 103-94 65%     6 - 2 +2.0 +13.9 -12.9
  Dec 21, 2013 66   @ North Carolina St. L 79-90 10%     6 - 3 -0.4 +7.4 -7.5
  Dec 29, 2013 72   Georgia St. L 82-89 23%     6 - 4 -2.6 +1.7 -3.7
  Jan 02, 2014 328   @ Campbell W 79-71 73%     7 - 4 -1.4 +8.9 -9.4
  Jan 11, 2014 183   Old Dominion L 70-81 53%     7 - 5 0 - 1 -15.0 +4.8 -20.8
  Jan 16, 2014 239   @ Florida Atlantic L 67-78 44%     7 - 6 0 - 2 -12.5 +2.0 -15.8
  Jan 18, 2014 227   @ Florida International L 64-68 42%     7 - 7 0 - 3 -5.0 -3.2 -2.2
  Jan 23, 2014 281   Tulane L 54-59 73%     7 - 8 0 - 4 -14.6 -15.1 -0.3
  Jan 25, 2014 75   Southern Miss L 46-60 24%     7 - 9 0 - 5 -9.9 -22.4 +11.4
  Jan 30, 2014 97   @ Middle Tennessee L 67-84 16%     7 - 10 0 - 6 -9.4 +1.2 -10.6
  Feb 01, 2014 163   @ UAB W 74-67 27%     8 - 10 1 - 6 +10.1 +5.6 +4.6
  Feb 06, 2014 100   UTEP L 47-58 32%     8 - 11 1 - 7 -9.3 -3.9 -10.0
  Feb 08, 2014 301   Texas San Antonio W 81-71 79%     9 - 11 2 - 7 -1.9 -0.3 -1.6
  Feb 13, 2014 78   @ Tulsa L 58-76 12%     9 - 12 2 - 8 -8.6 -2.5 -7.6
  Feb 15, 2014 237   @ North Texas L 51-53 43%     9 - 13 2 - 9 -3.5 -11.2 +7.4
  Feb 20, 2014 39   Louisiana Tech W 75-68 15%     10 - 13 3 - 9 +14.9 +11.8 +3.5
  Feb 22, 2014 293   Rice W 67-55 78%     11 - 13 4 - 9 +0.7 -3.7 +5.3
  Feb 27, 2014 179   Charlotte W 75-68 52%     12 - 13 5 - 9 +3.3 -0.5 +3.5
  Mar 02, 2014 232   @ Marshall L 61-64 43%     12 - 14 5 - 10 -4.4 -5.3 +0.6
  Mar 06, 2014 183   @ Old Dominion L 47-68 32%     12 - 15 5 - 11 -19.4 -9.9 -14.9
  Mar 11, 2014 301   Texas San Antonio W 79-76 71%     13 - 15 -6.1 +1.9 -7.9
  Mar 12, 2014 100   @ UTEP L 68-77 16%     13 - 16 -1.8 +3.3 -5.4
Projected Record 13.0 - 16.0 5.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11 100.0% 100.0
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%